OBL tape a positive for Kerry?

check out this post-OBL poll from the Minnesota Star-Tribune:

Minnesota Poll: Kerry takes 49%-41% lead over Bush

Independent candidate Ralph Nader, who received 5 percent of the vote in Minnesota four years ago, appears to remain a non-factor in 2004. He is supported by only 1 percent of the state's likely voters.

Jacobs, whose most recent poll had Nader at 5 percent, said that's more evidence of Kerry's gathering strength.

"You can see he's gotten his feet under him among independents and moderates who had been thinking of voting for Nader," he said. "They're coming home maybe because they saw Bin Laden's face on TV [Friday] night and decided they can't take the chance of a protest vote."

The repeated airing of Osama bin Laden's latest video Friday may have been one reason there was a spike in support for Kerry in the interviews conducted that night, compared with three previous nights of interviewing, agreed Jacobs and Minnesota Poll director Rob Daves.

"Maybe it was Bin Laden, maybe it was the news about the missing explosives [in Iraq], but the news seems to have been injected with the seriousness of national security events," Jacobs said.

Very comforting indeed. If Kerry can pick up nervous Nader voters in battleground states, that could mean 1-2% gains.

Link